Surgical Risk Calculator

Postoperative Respiratory Failure (PRF) Risk Calculator

This tool supports clinical judgment and does not replace it.

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Estimates the risk of postoperative respiratory failure: mechanical ventilation for more than 48 hours after surgery, or unplanned intubation within 30 days of surgery.

Emergency case Emergent case
Functional status

About this model

  • Built from 211,410 patients in the 2007 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP), and validated on 257,385 patients in the 2008 data.
  • 6,531 patients (3.1%) developed postoperative respiratory failure in the 2007 data.
  • C statistic 0.894 in training and 0.897 in validation.

Citation

Gupta H, Gupta PK, Fang X, Miller WJ, Cemaj S, Forse RA, Morrow LE. Development and validation of a risk calculator predicting postoperative respiratory failure. Chest. 2011;140(5):1207-15. doi:10.1378/chest.11-0466 · PubMed 21757571

Original spreadsheet

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